Figueirensevs
Hercílio Luz
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Santa Catarina · 9/5/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hercílio Luz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Figueirense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hercílio Luz are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hercílio Luz hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (52.6 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Hercílio Luz holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hercílio Luz
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Hercílio Luz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40