Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiľakovo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fiľakovo 1-3 Čadca
Original prediction
Fiľakovo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.2% | 43.8% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.3% | 22.2% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.5% | 34.0% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Fiľakovo
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Fiľakovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FiľakovoWWWDL
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ČadcaWWWWD
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FiľakovoČadca
63.3Attack86.7
66.7Defence56.7
70.0Form63.3
66.6Power65.2
1.82xG1.61