FH hafnarfjordurvs
Thor Akureyri
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FH hafnarfjordur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FH hafnarfjordur 1-2 Thor Akureyri
Original prediction
FH hafnarfjordur
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 46.9% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 25.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.9% | 27.4% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
FH hafnarfjordur
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
FH hafnarfjordur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60