ÚrvalsdeildÚrvalsdeild
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 15:01
FH hafnarfjordur

FH hafnarfjordur

Home
WD
11
Full time
Thor Akureyri

Thor Akureyri

Away
D
Kaplakriki
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
FH hafnarfjordur(53%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
FH hafnarfjordur
53%
Draw
22%
Thor Akureyri
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
FH hafnarfjordur
73
Thor Akureyri
94
Defence
FH hafnarfjordur
66
Thor Akureyri
6
Momentum
FH hafnarfjordur
67
Thor Akureyri
33
Danger (xG)
FH hafnarfjordur
1.80
Thor Akureyri
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (FH hafnarfjordur)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Thor Akureyri)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (FH hafnarfjordur)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Thor Akureyri)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur
WDDDL
Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri
DLDL

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
FH hafnarfjordur53%
Draw22%
Thor Akureyri25%

FH hafnarfjordur leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

FH hafnarfjordur head into this in Úrvalsdeild fixture at Kaplakriki in mixed form (WD), while Thor Akureyri arrive in mixed form (D). FH hafnarfjordur have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Thor Akureyri over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — FH hafnarfjordur (73/100) and Thor Akureyri (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

FH hafnarfjordur have won 1 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Thor Akureyri have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects FH hafnarfjordur to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: FH hafnarfjordur 5340%, Draw 2190%, Thor Akureyri 2480%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

FH hafnarfjordur 0Draws 10 Thor Akureyri
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
FH hafnarfjordur
D11
Thor Akureyri

Recent form

FH hafnarfjordur

FH hafnarfjordur

W
vs Valur Reykjavik
12 Jul 2026
20
D
vs Stjarnan
3 Jul 2026
22
D
vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
28 Jun 2026
11
D
vs Thor Akureyri
21 Jun 2026
11
L
@ Fylkir
14 May 2026
03
Thor Akureyri

Thor Akureyri

D
vs KR Reykjavik
2 Jul 2026
33
L
vs Valur Reykjavik
28 Jun 2026
24
D
@ FH hafnarfjordur
21 Jun 2026
11
L
vs IA Akranes
17 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win FH hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri?

GoalVio's model predicts FH hafnarfjordur to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for FH hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in FH hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FH hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more