GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/15/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FH hafnarfjordur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

FH hafnarfjordur are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stjarnan are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Stjarnan hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.6% in the Úrvalsdeild, while FH hafnarfjordur holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FH hafnarfjordur

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

FH hafnarfjordur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FH hafnarfjordurDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
StjarnanL

GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
FH hafnarfjordurStjarnan
40.7Attack61.1
40.7Defence20.4
31.5Form38.9
39.9Power42.3
2.13xG2.07
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