FH hafnarfjordurvs
Stjarnan
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FH hafnarfjordur 5-2 Stjarnan
Original prediction
Stjarnan
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.5% | 39.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 20.4% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.1% | 40.4% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Stjarnan
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40