GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/29/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

KR Reykjavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

FH hafnarfjordur are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while KR Reykjavik are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and KR Reykjavik hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Úrvalsdeild, while KR Reykjavik holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

KR Reykjavik

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

KR Reykjavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FH hafnarfjordurLWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
KR ReykjavikLWD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
FH hafnarfjordurKR Reykjavik
40.7Attack100.0
40.7Defence27.8
31.5Form72.2
39.9Power66.8
1.79xG3.23
View match centre →