FH hafnarfjordurvs
Keflavik
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Keflavik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FH hafnarfjordur 2-1 Keflavik
Original prediction
Keflavik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 40.4% | 34.4% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.5% | 21.8% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.59 | 35.1% | 43.8% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Keflavik
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Keflavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20