FH hafnarfjordurvs
KA Akureyri
COMPLETEDIceland · Úrvalsdeild · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FH hafnarfjordur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FH hafnarfjordur 3-0 KA Akureyri
Original prediction
FH hafnarfjordur
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.7% | 44.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.2% | 21.0% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.1% | 34.2% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
FH hafnarfjordur
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
FH hafnarfjordur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60