Fgura Unitedvs
Sirens
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 9/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fgura United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fgura United 1-1 Sirens
Original prediction
Fgura United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.4% | 42.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 26.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.8% | 30.8% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Fgura United
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Fgura United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00