Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
FF Jaro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while vaasa PS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and vaasa PS hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.8% in the Veikkausliiga, while vaasa PS holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VPS
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
VPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20