Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FF Jaro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60