Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SJK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FF Jaro 1-1 SJK
Original prediction
SJK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.9% | 23.6% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.8% | 26.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 45.3% | 50.4% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
SJK
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
SJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FF JaroLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SJKDDLLD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FF JaroSJK
26.1Attack36.2
33.3Defence52.2
21.7Form29.0
29.9Power40.7
0.80xG1.36