Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FF Jaro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while SalPa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
73.9%
Model confidence
73.9%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80