Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FF Jaro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while SalPa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.9% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
73.9%
Model confidence
73.9%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20