Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
FF Jaro 1-0 PK-35
Original prediction
PK-35
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 October 2026 at 11:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.0% | 34.0% | -19.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.5% | 28.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.4% | 37.4% | 16.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FF JaroDDWDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 0/5
PK-35DWLDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FF JaroPK-35
27.4Attack33.3
40.5Defence66.7
26.2Form33.3
33.9Power45.3
0.80xG1.57