Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
FF Jaro are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MP are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.1% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80