Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
FF Jaro are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LDWW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded, while KäPa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Ykkönen, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/0.75
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20