Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
FF Jaro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while KäPa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40