Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
FF Jaro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Kooteepee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Kooteepee hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20