Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
FF Jaro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while JäPS are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00