Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
FF Jaro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while JäPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20