Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
FF Jaro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while JIPPO are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Ykkösliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FF Jaro
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80