GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 5/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FF Jaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

FF Jaro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while IFK Mariehamn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 21.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while FF Jaro holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FF Jaro

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

13.5%

FF Jaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FF JaroLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
IFK MariehamnDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FF JaroIFK Mariehamn
31.6Attack15.8
33.3Defence28.1
26.3Form8.8
32.8Power21.8
1.52xG0.94
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