Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
FF Jaro are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Lahti are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Veikkausliiga, while FC Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lahti
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
18.6%
FC Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40