Feyenoordvs
Sturm Graz
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Feyenoord · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Feyenoord are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sturm Graz are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Feyenoord hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Feyenoord holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Feyenoord
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Feyenoord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20