Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Como · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Feyenoord 3-2 Como
Original prediction
Como
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.14 | 30.4% | 30.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 25.0% | 26.3% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 44.6% | 43.5% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Como
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Como has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FeyenoordWWWLW
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ComoDLWWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FeyenoordComo
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power88.7
1.32xG1.87