Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Feyenoord · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Feyenoord are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Celtic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.3 against 46.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Feyenoord holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Feyenoord
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Feyenoord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80