GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aston Villa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Feyenoord are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Aston Villa are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 79.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FeyenoordWLDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Aston VillaWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FeyenoordAston Villa
33.3Attack68.9
66.7Defence82.2
33.3Form86.7
48.3Power79.6
0.71xG1.91
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