Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AS Roma · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Feyenoord are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while AS Roma are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AS Roma hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while AS Roma holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AS Roma
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
AS Roma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40