Feyenoordvs
ADO Den Haag
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/30/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Feyenoord · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Feyenoord 2-2 ADO Den Haag
Original prediction
Feyenoord
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 81.8% | 60.6% | -21.2 pts |
| Draw | 8.16 | 11.6% | 20.9% | 9.4 pts |
| Away | 14.13 | 6.7% | 18.5% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 7.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Feyenoord
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
Feyenoord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80