Fethiyesporvs
Karacabey Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fethiyespor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fethiyespor 0-1 Karacabey Belediyespor
Original prediction
Fethiyespor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.7% | 37.8% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.9% | 28.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.4% | 34.0% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Fethiyespor
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Fethiyespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60