Fethiyesporvs
Ankaragücü
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ankaragücü · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fethiyespor 2-2 Ankaragücü
Original prediction
Ankaragücü
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 27.5% | 24.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.9% | 25.6% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.5% | 50.3% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Ankaragücü
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Ankaragücü has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00