Ferrymead Baysvs
Cashmere Technical
COMPLETEDNew-Zealand · National League - National · 10/23/2026, 6:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cashmere Technical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferrymead Bays 0-2 Cashmere Technical
Original prediction
Cashmere Technical
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.71 | 15.8% | 20.5% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 18.5% | 21.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 65.7% | 58.4% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Cashmere Technical
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Cashmere Technical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80