Ferroviáriavs
Maringá
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 10/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferroviária · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferroviária 0-0 Maringá, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferroviária 1-2 Maringá
Original prediction
Ferroviária
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 02:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.5% | 43.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.1% | 29.2% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.4% | 27.3% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Projected Score
Ferroviária 0–0 Maringá
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Ferroviária
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Ferroviária has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FerroviáriaDWLDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MaringáDWDDW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
FerroviáriaMaringá
39.7Attack50.0
70.5Defence57.7
51.3Form53.8
55.7Power54.7
1.08xG0.81