Ferroviáriavs
Confiança
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferroviária · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferroviária 0-0 Confiança, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferroviária 1-0 Confiança
Original prediction
Ferroviária
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.3% | 56.3% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.7% | 30.5% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 7.56 | 12.0% | 13.2% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Projected Score
Ferroviária 0–0 Confiança
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Ferroviária
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Ferroviária has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FerroviáriaLWDDW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ConfiançaLDLDL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
FerroviáriaConfiança
38.9Attack20.4
72.2Defence64.8
50.0Form24.1
55.0Power39.0
0.93xG0.34