Ferroviáriavs
Confiança
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie C · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferroviária · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferroviária are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Confiança are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviária hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.8% in the Serie C, while Ferroviária holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ferroviária
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
30.8%
Ferroviária has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60