Ferroviáriavs
Brusque
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 9/20/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferroviária · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferroviária 0-0 Brusque, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferroviária 3-2 Brusque
Original prediction
Ferroviária
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.6% | 44.9% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.3% | 29.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.48 | 20.1% | 26.1% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Projected Score
Ferroviária 0–0 Brusque
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Ferroviária
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Ferroviária has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FerroviáriaWDWLW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BrusqueDWDDW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FerroviáriaBrusque
41.3Attack50.8
71.4Defence60.3
54.0Form57.1
57.2Power58.4
1.05xG0.80