GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferroviario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferroviario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tirol/CEFAT are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviario hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie D, while Ferroviario holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferroviario

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Ferroviario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FerroviarioDLLDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tirol/CEFATLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 1/3
FerroviarioTirol/CEFAT
47.9Attack33.3
70.8Defence66.7
60.4Form33.3
60.9Power46.0
1.08xG0.51
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