Ferroviariovs
Tirol/CEFAT
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferroviario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferroviario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tirol/CEFAT are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviario hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie D, while Ferroviario holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ferroviario
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Ferroviario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33