GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferroviario · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferroviario are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Piauí are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviario hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 56.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Serie D, while Ferroviario holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferroviario

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Ferroviario has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FerroviarioWLWDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PiauíWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FerroviarioPiauí
47.9Attack41.7
70.8Defence63.9
60.4Form55.6
60.9Power56.3
1.13xG0.66
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