GGOALVIO

Brazil · Brasileiro Women · 9/5/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferroviaria W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Ferroviaria W 0-0 Flamengo W, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Ferroviaria W 2-2 Flamengo W

Original prediction

Ferroviaria W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9247.1%38.6%-8.4 pts
Draw3.2228.1%30.9%2.9 pts
Away3.6324.9%30.4%5.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.4 pts

Projected Score

Ferroviaria W 0–0 Flamengo W

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Ferroviaria W

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

38.6%

Ferroviaria W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferroviaria WLDWDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Flamengo WWWWDL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ferroviaria WFlamengo W
42.6Attack55.6
72.2Defence63.0
57.4Form61.1
59.0Power61.6
1.01xG0.86
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