GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferro Carril Oeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferro Carril Oeste are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Miguel are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.6% in the Primera Nacional, while Ferro Carril Oeste holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferro Carril Oeste

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

28.6%

Ferro Carril Oeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro Carril OesteWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San MiguelLWDDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Ferro Carril OesteSan Miguel
38.9Attack24.6
69.4Defence66.7
63.9Form37.7
59.8Power45.2
0.89xG0.40
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