GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 10/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferro Carril Oeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Racing Cordoba, with an exact score probability of 24%.

Prediction record

Final result

Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Racing Cordoba

Original prediction

Ferro Carril Oeste

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4862.2%54.3%-7.9 pts
Draw3.6725.1%29.9%4.8 pts
Away7.2212.8%15.8%3.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.9 pts

Projected Score

Ferro Carril Oeste 0–0 Racing Cordoba

Exact score probability: 24%

Predicted outcome

Ferro Carril Oeste

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Ferro Carril Oeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro Carril OesteDLWWD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Racing CordobaWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ferro Carril OesteRacing Cordoba
37.4Attack30.3
71.7Defence60.6
62.6Form40.4
59.7Power46.1
1.00xG0.46
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