GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferro Carril Oeste are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Los Andes are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

36.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro Carril OesteLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Los AndesDLDDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ferro Carril OesteLos Andes
38.9Attack29.0
69.4Defence84.1
63.9Form47.8
59.8Power55.0
0.57xG0.48
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