Ferro Carril Oestevs
Deportivo Madryn
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferro Carril Oeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Deportivo Madryn, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferro Carril Oeste 0-2 Deportivo Madryn
Original prediction
Ferro Carril Oeste
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.4% | 39.5% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.0% | 32.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.6% | 27.8% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.9 pts
Projected Score
Ferro Carril Oeste 0–0 Deportivo Madryn
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Ferro Carril Oeste
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Ferro Carril Oeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80