Ferro Carril Oestevs
Defensores De Belgrano
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 5/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores De Belgrano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20