Ferro Carril Oestevs
Ciudad de Bolívar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/19/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferro Carril Oeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Ciudad de Bolívar, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Ciudad de Bolívar
Original prediction
Ferro Carril Oeste
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.4% | 47.4% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.3% | 34.0% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.63 | 16.3% | 18.6% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Ferro Carril Oeste 0–0 Ciudad de Bolívar
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Ferro Carril Oeste
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Ferro Carril Oeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00