Ferro Carril Oestevs
Chaco For Ever
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferro Carril Oeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Chaco For Ever, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferro Carril Oeste 0-3 Chaco For Ever
Original prediction
Ferro Carril Oeste
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 63.5% | 51.4% | -12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.8% | 31.3% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 7.85 | 11.7% | 17.4% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Projected Score
Ferro Carril Oeste 0–0 Chaco For Ever
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Ferro Carril Oeste
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Ferro Carril Oeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40