Ferro Carril Oestevs
CA Estudiantes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 4/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CA Estudiantes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20