Ferro Carril Oestevs
Atletico Mitre
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ferro Carril Oeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0 Atletico Mitre, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Atletico Mitre
Original prediction
Ferro Carril Oeste
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.9% | 56.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.5% | 27.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.51 | 16.6% | 16.1% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Atletico Mitre
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Ferro Carril Oeste
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Ferro Carril Oeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60