GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/28/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ferro Carril Oeste are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ferro Carril OesteWLDWL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Almirante BrownWLLLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ferro Carril OesteAlmirante Brown
38.9Attack26.4
69.4Defence81.9
63.9Form52.8
59.8Power56.1
0.56xG0.44
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