Ferro Carril Oestevs
Almirante Brown
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 4/28/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ferro Carril Oeste are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferro Carril Oeste hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00